While the fine wine market has faced a challenging correction—currently sitting roughly 25% down from its historic peak in October 2022—the latest data suggests the tide may finally be turning.
According to a recent report from Liv-ex, the London-based global marketplace and benchmark authority for the fine wine trade, select corners of the market are showing encouraging signs of stabilization.
“Some [wine brands] likely have further yet to fall; others appear to have found their floors and are now tracking gently upwards.” — Sophia Gilmour, Liv-ex Market Analyst
For collectors and investors, tracking these sustained upward movements is crucial. It provides the first clear signals that buyers are returning to the market and price confidence is rebuilding. To find out where this stabilization is taking root, Liv-ex analyzed transaction data over the past year, isolating the wines demonstrating consistent, realized upward price trends.
While past performance is never a guaranteed roadmap for future returns, these resilient wines offer valuable insight into where market confidence is quietly recovering.
The Front-Runners: Key Wines Bucking the Trend
Though a market-wide recovery is not yet in full swing, buyers are selectively returning to specific labels where prices have stabilized. The analysis highlighted several notable standouts:
- Château Mouton Rothschild 2015: Showing impressive resilience, this vintage is now trading close to its stable 2020 price levels.
- Château Lafite Rothschild 2015: This Bordeaux First Growth has maintained a remarkably steady, consistent upward trajectory over the past year.
- Non-Vintage Champagne Giants: The sparkling category continues to show selective strength, with notable gains recorded for both Pol Roger Réserve Brut and Jacques Selosse Initial.
Navigating a Two-Tiered Market
What do these trends tell us? The data points to a highly selective market. Rather than a rising tide lifting all boats, smart money is flowing toward specific wines that have established a clear pricing floor.
“For buyers looking for safer moments to capitalize on the current market, wines that have shown evidence of reaching their floors may be the right place to start,” Gilmour notes.
For those looking to navigate the current climate, keeping a close eye on these “floor-setters” may be the key to timing the market’s next chapter.
NOTE: Images on Wine Stars are sourced from personal photography, official winery media kits, public domain stock, or generated via AI tools.